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Titel Insight into earthquake sequencing: analysis and interpretation of time-series constructed from the directed graph of the Markov chain model
VerfasserIn M. S. Cavers, K. Vasudevan
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 2198-5634
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions ; 2, no. 1 ; Nr. 2, no. 1 (2015-02-24), S.399-424
Datensatznummer 250115152
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/npgd-2-399-2015.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Directed graph representation of a Markov chain model to study global earthquake sequencing leads to a time-series of state-to-state transition probabilities that includes the spatio-temporally linked recurrent events in the record-breaking sense. A state refers to a configuration comprised of zones with either the occurrence or non-occurrence of an earthquake in each zone in a pre-determined time interval. Since the time-series is derived from non-linear and non-stationary earthquake sequencing, we use known analysis methods to glean new information. We apply decomposition procedures such as ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) to study the state-to-state fluctuations in each of the intrinsic mode functions. We subject the intrinsic mode functions, the orthogonal basis set derived from the time-series using the EEMD, to a detailed analysis to draw information-content of the time-series. Also, we investigate the influence of random-noise on the data-driven state-to-state transition probabilities. We consider a second aspect of earthquake sequencing that is closely tied to its time-correlative behavior. Here, we extend the Fano factor and Allan factor analysis to the time-series of state-to state transition frequencies of a Markov chain. Our results support not only the usefulness the intrinsic mode functions in understanding the time-series but also the presence of power-law behaviour exemplified by the Fano factor and the Allan factor.
 
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