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Titel Multi-model data fusion as a tool for PUB: example in a Swedish mesoscale catchment
VerfasserIn J.-F. Exbrayat, N. R. Viney, J. Seibert, H.-G. Frede, L. Breuer
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1680-7340
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Towards practical applications in ensemble hydro-meteorological forecasting ; Nr. 29 (2011-02-28), S.43-50
Datensatznummer 250016933
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/adgeo-29-43-2011.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Post-processing the output of different rainfall-runoff models allows one to pool strengths of each model to produce more reliable predictions. As a new approach in the frame of the "Prediction in Ungauged Basins" initiative, this study investigates the geographical transferability of different parameter sets and data-fusion methods which were applied to 5 different rainfall-runoff models for a low-land catchment in Central Sweden. After usual calibration, we adopted a proxy-basin validation approach between two similar but non-nested sub-catchments in order to simulate ungauged conditions.

Many model combinations outperformed the best single model predictions with improvements of efficiencies from 0.70 for the best single model predictions to 0.77 for the best ensemble predictions. However no "best" data-fusion method could be determined as similar performances were obtained with different merging schemes. In general, poorer model performance, i.e. lower efficiency, was less likely to occur for ensembles which included more individual models.
 
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