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| Titel |
Climate impact research: beyond patchwork |
| VerfasserIn |
V. Huber, H. J. Schellnhuber, N. W. Arnell, K. Frieler, A. D. Friend, D. Gerten, I. Haddeland, P. Kabat, H. Lotze-Campen, W. Lucht, M. Parry, F. Piontek, C. Rosenzweig, J. Schewe, L. Warszawski |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
2190-4979
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Earth System Dynamics ; 5, no. 2 ; Nr. 5, no. 2 (2014-11-13), S.399-408 |
| Datensatznummer |
250115373
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/esd-5-399-2014.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| Despite significant progress in climate impact research, the narratives that
science can presently piece together of a 2, 3, 4, or 5 °C warmer
world remain fragmentary. Here we briefly review past undertakings to
characterise comprehensively and
quantify climate impacts based on multi-model approaches. We then report on
the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP), a
community-driven effort to compare impact models across sectors and scales
systematically, and to quantify the uncertainties along the chain from
greenhouse gas emissions and climate input data to the modelling of climate
impacts themselves. We show how ISI-MIP and similar efforts can substantially
advance the science relevant to impacts, adaptation and vulnerability, and we
outline the steps that need to be taken in order to make the most of the
available modelling tools. We discuss pertinent limitations of these methods
and how they could be tackled. We argue that it is time to consolidate the
current patchwork of impact knowledge through integrated cross-sectoral
assessments, and that the climate impact community is now in a favourable
position to do so. |
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