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Titel Logit-normal mixed model for Indian Monsoon rainfall extremes
VerfasserIn L. R. Dietz, S. Chatterjee
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 2198-5634
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics Discussions ; 1, no. 1 ; Nr. 1, no. 1 (2014-03-13), S.193-233
Datensatznummer 250115076
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/npgd-1-193-2014.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Describing the nature and variability of Indian monsoon rainfall extremes is a topic of much debate in the current literature. We suggest the use of a generalized linear mixed model (GLMM), specifically, the logit-normal mixed model, to describe the underlying structure of this complex climatic event. Several GLMM algorithms are described and simulations are performed to vet these algorithms before applying them to the Indian precipitation data procured from the National Climatic Data Center. The logit-normal model was applied with fixed covariates of latitude, longitude, elevation, daily minimum and maximum temperatures with a random intercept by weather station. In general, the estimation methods concurred in their suggestion of a relationship between the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and extreme rainfall variability estimates. This work provides a valuable starting point for extending GLMM to incorporate the intricate dependencies in extreme climate events.
 
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