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Titel A mechanism for catastrophic filter divergence in data assimilation for sparse observation networks
VerfasserIn G. A. Gottwald, A. J. Majda
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1023-5809
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics ; 20, no. 5 ; Nr. 20, no. 5 (2013-09-25), S.705-712
Datensatznummer 250086050
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/npg-20-705-2013.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
We study catastrophic filter divergence in data assimilation procedures whereby the forecast model develops severe numerical instabilities leading to a blow-up of the solution. Catastrophic filter divergence can occur in sparse observational grids with small observational noise for intermediate observation intervals and finite ensemble sizes. Using a minimal five-dimensional model, we establish that catastrophic filter divergence is a numerical instability of the underlying forecast model caused by the filtering procedure producing analyses which are not consistent with the true dynamics, and stiffness caused by the fast attraction of the inconsistent analyses towards the attractor during the forecast step.
 
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