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| Titel |
Brief communication "A prototype forecasting chain for rainfall induced shallow landslides" |
| VerfasserIn |
P. Mercogliano, S. Segoni, G. Rossi, B. Sikorsky, V. Tofani, P. Schiano, F. Catani, N. Casagli |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 13, no. 3 ; Nr. 13, no. 3 (2013-03-25), S.771-777 |
| Datensatznummer |
250018397
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-13-771-2013.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| Although shallow landslides are a very widespread phenomenon, large area
(e.g. thousands of square kilometres) early warning systems are commonly
based on statistical rainfall thresholds, while physically based models are
more commonly applied to smaller areas. This work provides a contribution
towards the filling of this gap: a forecasting chain is designed assembling
a numerical weather prediction model, a statistical rainfall downscaling
tool and a geotechnical model for the distributed calculation of the factor
of safety on a pixel-by-pixel basis. The forecasting chain can be used to
forecast the triggering of shallow landslides with a 48 h lead time and
was tested on a 3200 km2 wide area. |
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