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Titel |
On the prediction of the auroral westward electrojet index |
VerfasserIn |
O. A. Amariutei, N. Yu. Ganushkina |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
0992-7689
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Annales Geophysicae ; 30, no. 5 ; Nr. 30, no. 5 (2012-05-14), S.841-847 |
Datensatznummer |
250017225
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/angeo-30-841-2012.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
An ARMAX based model, to forecast the evolution of the of AL index, is
developed. The model has been trained and validated using neural networks with
the half wave rectifier (VBs) as input. It is shown that the model posses a
good, reliable forecasting ability, including periods of intense
geomagnetic activity. Prediction efficiency of the model is discussed in the
context of 1 min resolution output smoothed over 7 min. |
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