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Titel On the prediction of the auroral westward electrojet index
VerfasserIn O. A. Amariutei, N. Yu. Ganushkina
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 0992-7689
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Annales Geophysicae ; 30, no. 5 ; Nr. 30, no. 5 (2012-05-14), S.841-847
Datensatznummer 250017225
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/angeo-30-841-2012.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
An ARMAX based model, to forecast the evolution of the of AL index, is developed. The model has been trained and validated using neural networks with the half wave rectifier (VBs) as input. It is shown that the model posses a good, reliable forecasting ability, including periods of intense geomagnetic activity. Prediction efficiency of the model is discussed in the context of 1 min resolution output smoothed over 7 min.
 
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