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| Titel |
Bayesian trend analysis for daily rainfall series of Barcelona |
| VerfasserIn |
M. I. Ortego, J. Gibergans-Báguena, R. Tolosana-Delgado, J. J. Egozcue, M. C. Llasat |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1680-7340
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: 11th EGU Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms (2009) ; Nr. 26 (2010-07-15), S.71-76 |
| Datensatznummer |
250015984
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/adgeo-26-71-2010.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| A Point-Over-Threshold approach using a reparameterization of the Generalized
Pareto Distribution (GPD) has been used to assess changes in the daily
rainfall Barcelona series (1854–2006). A Bayesian approach, considering the
suitable scale and physical features of the phenomenon, has been used to look
for these alterations. Two different models have been assessed: existence of
abrupt changes in the new GPD parameters due to modifications of the
observatory locations and trends in these GPD parameters, pointing to a
climate change scenario. |
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