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Titel |
Future changes in the relationship of precipitation intensity in Eastern Mediterranean with large scale circulation |
VerfasserIn |
M. Hatzaki, H. A. Flocas, C. Oikonomou, C. Giannakopoulos |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1680-7340
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: 10th EGU Plinius Conference on Mediterranean Storms (2008) ; Nr. 23 (2010-03-10), S.31-36 |
Datensatznummer |
250015104
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/adgeo-23-31-2010.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
The objective of this study is to investigate the linkage of large-scale
upper air circulation over the greater European area with intense
precipitation events over Eastern Mediterranean and then to estimate
potential changes in the atmospheric patterns in the future, under global
warming conditions. For this purpose, results from the regional climate
model HadRM3P and Global Circulation Model HadAM3P have been used for the
present period 1960–1990 (control run) and the future period 2070–2100 based
on the B2a IPCC emission scenario. For the identification of the
precipitation extremes the Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII) was employed.
Our analysis has shown a notable relation of extreme events with the East
Atlantic and Scandinavia teleconnection patterns, as well as the Eastern
Mediterranean Pattern (EMP) during the wet period. In the future, similar
patterns are found, with different magnitude and position, following the
projected changes in atmospheric circulation over Europe. |
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