 |
| Titel |
Non-linear modelling of monthly mean vorticity time changes: an application to the western Mediterranean |
| VerfasserIn |
M. Finizio, S. Palmieri |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
|
| Sprache |
Englisch
|
| ISSN |
0992-7689
|
| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Annales Geophysicae ; 16, no. 1 ; Nr. 16, no. 1, S.116-124 |
| Datensatznummer |
250013107
|
| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/angeo-16-116-1998.pdf |
|
|
|
|
|
| Zusammenfassung |
Starting from a number of observables in the
form of time-series of meteorological elements in various areas of the northern
hemisphere, a model capable of fitting past records and predicting monthly
vorticity time changes in the western Mediterranean is implemented. A new
powerful statistical methodology is introduced (MARS) in order to capture the
non-linear dynamics of time-series representing the available 40-year history of
the hemispheric circulation. The developed model is tested on a suitable
independent data set. An ensemble forecast exercise is also carried out to check
model stability in reference to the uncertainty of input quantities.
Key words. Meteorology and atmospheric dynamics ·
General circulation ocean-atmosphere interactions · Synoptic-scale meteorology |
| |
|
| Teil von |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|