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Titel Order parameter fluctuations in natural time and b-value variation before large earthquakes
VerfasserIn P. A. Varotsos, N. V. Sarlis, E. S. Skordas
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1561-8633
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 12, no. 11 ; Nr. 12, no. 11 (2012-11-21), S.3473-3481
Datensatznummer 250011203
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/nhess-12-3473-2012.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Self-similarity may stem from two origins: the process increments infinite variance and/or process memory. The b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter law comes from the first origin. In the frame of natural time analysis of earthquake data, a fall of the b-value observed before large earthquakes reflects an increase of the order parameter fluctuations upon approaching the critical point (mainshock). The increase of these fluctuations, however, is also influenced from the second origin of self-similarity, i.e., temporal correlations between earthquake magnitudes. This is supported by observations and simulations of an earthquake model.
 
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