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Titel |
Evolution of marine storminess in the Belgian part of the North Sea |
VerfasserIn |
D. Eynde, R. Sutter, P. Haerens |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1561-8633
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 12, no. 2 ; Nr. 12, no. 2 (2012-02-10), S.305-312 |
Datensatznummer |
250010499
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/nhess-12-305-2012.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
Severe storms have affected European coast lines in the past but knowledge
on changes in storminess for the last decades is still sparse. Climate
change is assumed to be a main driving factor with the potential to induce
changes on the intensity, duration and frequency of powerful marine storms,
including a long-term influence on peak wind speeds, surges and waves. It is,
therefore, important to investigate whether in the last decades changes in
the magnitude of storms, their duration and frequency could be observed.
Understanding trends in storminess in the last decades will help to better
prepare coastal managers for future events, taking into account potential
changes on storm occurrence and magnitude to improve planning of mitigation
and adaptation strategies. The purpose of this study was to focus on the
evolution of extreme wind conditions, wave height and storm surge levels in
the North Sea Region, especially in the Belgian part of the North Sea
(BPNS). Based on the analysis performed it is concluded that no clear trend
can be observed for the occurrence of significant increasing extreme wind
speeds over the BPNS. Furthermore, one can conclude that not enough
scientific evidence is available to support scenarios with increased wave
height or storminess. |
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