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Titel |
Modelling the impacts of projected future climate change on water resources in north-west England |
VerfasserIn |
H. J. Fowler, C. G. Kilsby, J. Stunell |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1027-5606
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences ; 11, no. 3 ; Nr. 11, no. 3 (2007-04-27), S.1115-1126 |
Datensatznummer |
250009315
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/hess-11-1115-2007.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
Over the last two decades, the frequency of water resource drought in the UK, coupled with the more recent pan-European drought of 2003, has increased concern over changes in climate. Using the UKCIP02 Medium-High (SRES A2) scenario for 2070–2100, this study investigates the impact of climate change on the operation of the Integrated Resource Zone (IRZ), a complex conjunctive-use water supply system in north-western England. The results indicate that the contribution of individual sources to yield may change substantially but that overall yield is reduced by only 18%. Notwithstanding this significant effect on water supply, the flexibility of the system enables it to meet modelled demand for much of the time under the future climate scenario, even without a change in system management, but at significant expense for pumping additional abstraction from lake and borehole sources. This research provides a basis for the future planning and management of the complex water resource system in the north-west of England. |
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