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| Titel |
The Variable Scale Evacuation Model (VSEM): a new tool for simulating massive evacuation processes during volcanic crises |
| VerfasserIn |
J. M. Marrero, A. García, A. Llinares, J. A. Rodríguez-Losada, R. Ortiz |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 10, no. 4 ; Nr. 10, no. 4 (2010-04-14), S.747-760 |
| Datensatznummer |
250008080
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-10-747-2010.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| Volcanic eruptions are among the most awesome and powerful displays of
nature's force, constituting a major natural hazard for society (a single
eruption can claim thousands of lives in an instant). Consequently,
assessment and management of volcanic risk have become critically important
goals of modern volcanology. Over recent years, numerous tools have been
developed to evaluate volcanic risk and support volcanic crisis management:
probabilistic analysis of future eruptions, hazard and risk maps, event
trees, etc. However, there has been little improvement in the tools that may
help Civil Defense officials to prepare Emergency Plans. Here we present a
new tool for simulating massive evacuation processes during volcanic crisis:
the Variable Scale Evacuation Model (VSEM). The main objective of the VSEM
software is to optimize the evacuation process of Emergency Plans during
volcanic crisis. For this, the VSEM allows the simulation of an evacuation
considering different strategies depending on diverse impact scenarios. VSEM
is able to calculate the required time for the complete evacuation taking
into account diverse evacuation scenarios (number and type of population,
infrastructure, road network, etc.) and to detect high-risk or
"blackspots" of the road network. The program is versatile and can work at
different scales, thus being capable of simulating the evacuation of small
villages as well as huge cities. |
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