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Titel |
Recent advances in flood forecasting and flood risk assessment |
VerfasserIn |
G. Arduino, P. Reggiani, E. Todini |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1027-5606
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences ; 9, no. 4 ; Nr. 9, no. 4 (2005-10-07), S.280-284 |
Datensatznummer |
250006962
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/hess-9-280-2005.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
Recent large floods in Europe have led to increased interest in research and
development of flood forecasting systems. Some of these events have been
provoked by some of the wettest rainfall periods on record which has led to
speculation that such extremes are attributable in some measure to
anthropogenic global warming and represent the beginning of a period of
higher flood frequency. Whilst current trends in extreme event statistics
will be difficult to discern, conclusively, there has been a substantial
increase in the frequency of high floods in the 20th century for basins
greater than 2x105 km2. There is also increasing that anthropogenic forcing
of climate change may lead to an increased probability of extreme
precipitation and, hence, of flooding. There is, therefore, major emphasis on
the improvement of operational flood forecasting systems in Europe, with
significant European Community spending on research and development on
prototype forecasting systems and flood risk management projects. This
Special Issue synthesises the most relevant scientific and technological
results presented at the International Conference on Flood Forecasting in
Europe held in Rotterdam from 3-5 March 2003. During that meeting 150
scientists, forecasters and stakeholders from four continents assembled to
present their work and current operational best practice and to discuss
future directions of scientific and technological efforts in flood prediction
and prevention. The papers presented at the conference fall into seven
themes, as follows. |
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