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Titel Social tension as precursor of large damaging earthquake: legend or reality?
VerfasserIn O. Molchanov
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1561-8633
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 8, no. 6 ; Nr. 8, no. 6 (2008-11-24), S.1259-1265
Datensatznummer 250005897
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/nhess-8-1259-2008.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Using case study of earthquake (EQ) activity and war conflicts in Caucasus during 1975–2002 time interval and correlation analysis of global distribution of damaging EQs and war-related social tension during 1901–2005 period we conclude:
  • There is a statistically reliable increase of social tension several years (or several months in case study) before damaging EQs,
  • There is evident decrease of social tension several years after damaging EQs, probably due to society consolidation,
  • Preseismic effect is absent for the large EQs in unpopulated areas,
  • There is some factual background for legendary belief in Almighty retribution for social abnormal behavior.
 
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