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Titel |
Social tension as precursor of large damaging earthquake: legend or reality? |
VerfasserIn |
O. Molchanov |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1561-8633
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 8, no. 6 ; Nr. 8, no. 6 (2008-11-24), S.1259-1265 |
Datensatznummer |
250005897
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/nhess-8-1259-2008.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
Using case study of earthquake (EQ) activity and war
conflicts in Caucasus during 1975–2002 time interval and correlation
analysis of global distribution of damaging EQs and war-related social
tension during 1901–2005 period we conclude:
- There is a statistically reliable increase of social tension several years
(or several months in case study) before damaging EQs,
- There is evident decrease of social tension several years after damaging
EQs, probably due to society consolidation,
- Preseismic effect is absent for the large EQs in unpopulated areas,
- There is some factual background for legendary belief in Almighty
retribution for social abnormal behavior.
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