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Titel Regional climate model simulations as input for hydrological applications: evaluation of uncertainties
VerfasserIn S. Kotlarski, A. Block, U. Böhm, D. Jacob, K. Keuler, R. Knoche, D. Rechid, A. Walter
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1680-7340
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Proceedings of the 8th Workshop for Large Scale Hydrological Modelling - Oppurg 2004 ; Nr. 5 (2005-12-16), S.119-125
Datensatznummer 250002176
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/adgeo-5-119-2005.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
The ERA15 Reanalysis (1979-1993) has been dynamically downscaled over Central Europe using 4 different regional climate models. The regional simulations were analysed with respect to 2m temperature and total precipitation, the main input parameters for hydrological applications. Model results were validated against three reference data sets (ERA15, CRU, DWD) and uncertainty ranges were derived. For mean annual 2 m temperature over Germany, the simulation bias lies between -1.1°C and +0.9°C depending on the combination of model and reference data set. The bias of mean annual precipitation varies between -31 and +108 mm/year. Differences between RCM results are of the same magnitude as differences between the reference data sets.
 
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