| The local "when" for earthquake prediction is based on the connection between
geomagnetic "quakes" and the next incoming minimum or maximum of tidal
gravitational potential. The probability time window for the predicted
earthquake is for the tidal minimum approximately ±1 day and for the
maximum ±2 days. The preliminary statistic estimation on the basis of
distribution of the time difference between occurred and predicted
earthquakes for the period 2002-2003 for the Sofia region is given.
The possibility for creating a local "when, where" earthquake research and
prediction NETWORK is based on the accurate monitoring of the
electromagnetic field with special space and time scales under, on and over
the Earth's surface. The periodically upgraded information from seismic hazard
maps and other standard geodetic information, as well as other precursory
information, is essential. |