 |
| Titel |
Time independent seismic hazard analysis of Greece deduced from Bayesian statistics |
| VerfasserIn |
T. M. Tsapanos, G. A. Papadopoulos, O. Ch. Galanis |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
|
| Sprache |
Englisch
|
| ISSN |
1561-8633
|
| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 3, no. 1/2 ; Nr. 3, no. 1/2, S.129-134 |
| Datensatznummer |
250000670
|
| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-3-129-2003.pdf |
|
|
|
|
|
| Zusammenfassung |
| A Bayesian
statistics approach is applied in the seismogenic sources of Greece and
the surrounding area in order to assess seismic hazard, assuming that the
earthquake occurrence follows the Poisson process. The Bayesian approach
applied supplies the probability that a certain cut-off magnitude of Ms
= 6.0 will be exceeded in time intervals of 10, 20 and 75 years. We also
produced graphs which present the different seismic hazard in the
seismogenic sources examined in terms of varying probability which is
useful for engineering and civil protection purposes, allowing the
designation of priority sources for earthquake-resistant design. It is
shown that within the above time intervals the seismogenic source (4)
called Igoumenitsa (in NW Greece and west Albania) has the highest
probability to experience an earthquake with magnitude M > 6.0.
High probabilities are found also for Ochrida (source 22), Samos (source
53) and Chios (source 56). |
| |
|
| Teil von |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|