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Titel |
A new method for avalanche hazard mapping using a combination of statistical and deterministic models |
VerfasserIn |
M. Barbolini, C. J. Keylock |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1561-8633
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 2, no. 3/4 ; Nr. 2, no. 3/4, S.239-245 |
Datensatznummer |
250000286
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/nhess-2-239-2002.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
The purpose of the present paper is to
propose a new method for avalanche hazard mapping using a combination of
statistical and deterministic modelling tools. The methodology is based on
frequency-weighted impact pressure, and uses an avalanche dynamics model
embedded within a statistical framework. The outlined procedure provides a
useful way for avalanche experts to produce hazard maps for the typical
case of avalanche sites where historical records are either poorly
documented or even completely lacking, as well as to derive confidence
limits on the proposed zoning. The methodology is implemented using
avalanche information from Iceland and the Swiss mapping criteria, and
applied to an Icelandic real world avalanche-mapping problem. |
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