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| Titel |
Brief communication "Evaluating European Coastal Evolution using Bayesian Networks" |
| VerfasserIn |
M. L. Yates, G. Cozannet |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 12, no. 4 ; Nr. 12, no. 4 (2012-04-25), S.1173-1177 |
| Datensatznummer |
250010710
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-12-1173-2012.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| The coastal zone is a complex environment in which a variety of forcing
factors interact causing shoreline evolution. Coastal managers seek to
predict coastal evolution and to identify regions vulnerable to erosion.
Here, a Bayesian network is developed to identify the primary factors
influencing decadal-scale shoreline evolution of European coasts and to
reproduce the observed evolution trends. Sensitivity tests demonstrate the
robustness of the model, showing higher predictive capabilities for stable
coasts than for eroding coasts. Finally, the study highlights the need to
update and expand large-scale coastal data sets, particularly by including
local scale processes and anthropogenic impacts. |
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