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Titel Prediction of magnetic storm events using the Dst index
VerfasserIn V. V. Anh, Z. G. Yu, J. A. Wanliss, S. M. Watson
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1023-5809
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics ; 12, no. 6 ; Nr. 12, no. 6 (2005-08-11), S.799-806
Datensatznummer 250010887
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/npg-12-799-2005.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
This paper provides a method to predict magnetic storm events based on the time series of the Dst index over the period 1981-2002. This method is based on the multiple scaling of the measure representation of the Dst time series. This measure is modeled as a recurrent iterated function system, which leads to a method to predict storm patterns included in its attractor. Numerical results are provided to evaluate the performance of the method in outside-sample forecasts.
 
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