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Titel Climate change and the demise of Minoan civilization
VerfasserIn A. A. Tsonis Link zu Wikipedia, K. L. Swanson, G. Sugihara, P. A. Tsonis
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1814-9324
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Climate of the Past ; 6, no. 4 ; Nr. 6, no. 4 (2010-08-24), S.525-530
Datensatznummer 250003659
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/cp-6-525-2010.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Climate change has been implicated in the success and downfall of several ancient civilizations. Here we present a synthesis of historical, climatic, and geological evidence that supports the hypothesis that climate change may have been responsible for the slow demise of Minoan civilization. Using proxy ENSO and precipitation reconstruction data in the period 1650–1980 we present empirical and quantitative evidence that El Nino causes drier conditions in the area of Crete. This result is supported by modern data analysis as well as by model simulations. Though not very strong, the ENSO-Mediterranean drying signal appears to be robust, and its overall effect was accentuated by a series of unusually strong and long-lasting El Nino events during the time of the Minoan decline. Indeed, a change in the dynamics of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) system occurred around 3000 BC, which culminated in a series of strong and frequent El Nino events starting at about 1450 BC and lasting for several centuries. This stressful climatic trend, associated with the gradual demise of the Minoans, is argued to be an important force acting in the downfall of this classic and long-lived civilization.
 
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