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| Titel |
Verification of precipitation forecasts of MM5 model over Epirus, NW Greece, for various convective parameterization schemes |
| VerfasserIn |
O. A. Sindosi, A. Bartzokas, V. Kotroni, K. Lagouvardos |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 12, no. 5 ; Nr. 12, no. 5 (2012-05-09), S.1393-1405 |
| Datensatznummer |
250010807
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-12-1393-2012.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| The mesoscale meteorological model MM5 is applied to 22 selected days with
intense precipitation in the region of Epirus, NW Greece. At first, it was
investigated whether and to what extend an increased horizontal resolution
(from 8 to 2 km) improves the quantitative precipitation forecasts. The model
skill was examined for the 12-h accumulated precipitation recorded at 14
meteorological stations located in Epirus and by using categorical and
descriptive statistics. Then, the precipitation forecast skill for the 2 km
grid was studied: (a) without and (b) with the activation of a convective
parameterization scheme. From the above study, the necessity of the use of a
scheme at the 2 km grid is assessed. Furthermore, three different convective
parameterization schemes are compared: (a) Betts-Miller, (b) Grell and (c) Kain-Fritsch-2
in order to reveal the scheme, resulting in the best
precipitation forecast skill in Epirus. Kain-Fritsch-2 and Grell give better
results with the latter being the best for the high precipitation events. |
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