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| Titel |
Variable predictability in deterministic dissipative sandpile |
| VerfasserIn |
M. G. Shnirman, A. B. Shapoval |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1023-5809
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics ; 17, no. 1 ; Nr. 17, no. 1 (2010-02-24), S.85-91 |
| Datensatznummer |
250013639
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/npg-17-85-2010.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| It is known that some quiescence precedes the strong events in
the Bak–Tang–Wiesenfeld sand-pile (Pepke
and Carlson, 1994)
We introduce dissipation depending on the propagation of the events
into this model such that
in the constructed model the growth of activity occurs before the
strong events. This fact allows the prediction of them in advance with
a certain efficiency.
This efficiency is variable in time. The best predictability is observed
during subcritical time ranges, while the efficiency
is definitely worse in the supercritical state. |
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