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| Titel |
Analysis of projected changes in the occurrence of heat waves in Hungary |
| VerfasserIn |
R. Pongrácz, J. Bartholy, E. B. Bartha |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1680-7340
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: 8th EGU Alexander von Humboldt Conference "Natural Disasters, Global Change, and the Preservation of World Heritage Sites" ; Nr. 35 (2013-09-07), S.115-122 |
| Datensatznummer |
250086169
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/adgeo-35-115-2013.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| Heat wave events are important temperature-related hazards due to their
impacts on human health. In 2004, a Heat Health Warning System including
three levels of heat wave warning was developed on the basis of a
retrospective analysis of mortality and meteorological data in Hungary to
anticipate heat waves that may result in a large excess of mortality.
Projected changes in the frequency of different heat wave warning levels are
analysed for the 21st century. For this purpose, outputs of regional climate
model PRECIS (Providing REgional Climates for Impacts Studies) are used
taking into account three different global emissions scenarios (A2, A1B,
B2). The results clearly show an increase in occurrence and length of heat
waves with respect to the underlying emissions scenarios and regional
climate model used. Moreover, the potential season of heat wave occurrences
is projected to be lengthened by two months in 2071–2100 compared to
1961–1990. |
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