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| Titel |
Evaluation of forest fire models on a large observation database |
| VerfasserIn |
J. B. Filippi, V. Mallet, B. Nader |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences ; 14, no. 11 ; Nr. 14, no. 11 (2014-11-27), S.3077-3091 |
| Datensatznummer |
250118755
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-14-3077-2014.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| This paper presents the evaluation of several fire propagation models using a
large set of observed fires. The observation base is composed of 80
Mediterranean fire cases of different sizes, which come with the limited
information available in an operational context (burned surface and
approximative ignition point). Simulations for all cases are carried out with
four different front velocity models. The results are compared with several
error scoring methods applied to each of the 320 simulations. All tasks are
performed in a fully automated manner, with simulations run as first guesses
with no tuning for any of the models or cases. This approach leads to a wide
range of simulation performance, including some of the bad simulation results
to be expected in an operational context. Disregarding the quality of the input
data, it is found that the models can be ranked based on their performance
and that the most complex models outperform the more empirical ones. Data and
source codes used for this paper are freely available to the community. |
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