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Titel Data-based estimates of the ocean carbon sink variability – results of the Surface Ocean pCO2 Mapping intercomparison (SOCOM)
VerfasserIn Christian Rödenbeck, Dorothée Bakker, Nicolas Gruber, Yosuke Iida, Andy Jacobson, Steve Jones, Peter Landschützer, Nicolas Metzl, Shin-ichiro Nakaoka, Are Olsen, Geun-Ha Park, Philippe Peylin, Keith Rodgers, Tristan Sasse, Ute Schuster, James Shutler, Vinu Valsala, Rik Wanninkhof, Jiye Zeng
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2016
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache en
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 18 (2016)
Datensatznummer 250131347
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2016-11746.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
\newcommand{\COtwo}{{CO$_2$}} \newcommand{\pCOtwo}{\ensuremath{p}\COtwo} \newcommand{\UPgCyr}{\unit{PgC\,yr\ensuremath{^{-1}}}} \newcommand{\IAVampl}{$0.31$\,\UPgCyr} \newcommand{\AnalysisPeriod}{1992--2009} Using measurements of the surface-ocean \COtwo\ partial pressure (\pCOtwo) from the SOCAT and LDEO data bases and 14 different \pCOtwo\ mapping methods recently collated by the Surface Ocean \pCOtwo\ Mapping intercomparison (SOCOM) initiative, variations in regional and global sea--air \COtwo\ fluxes are investigated. Though the available mapping methods use widely different approaches, we find relatively consistent estimates of regional \pCOtwo\ seasonality, in line with previous estimates. In terms of interannual variability (IAV), all mapping methods estimate the largest variations to occur in the Eastern equatorial Pacific. Despite considerable spread in the detailed variations, mapping methods that fit the data more closely also tend to agree more closely with each other in regional averages. Encouragingly, this includes mapping methods belonging to complementary types -- taking variability either directly from the \pCOtwo\ data or indirectly from driver data via regression. From a weighted ensemble average, we find an IAV amplitude of the global sea--air \COtwo\ flux of \IAVampl\ (standard deviation over \AnalysisPeriod), which is larger than simulated by biogeochemical process models. On a decadal perspective, the global ocean \COtwo\ uptake is estimated to have gradually increased since about 2000, with little decadal change prior to that. The weighted mean net global ocean \COtwo\ sink estimated by the SOCOM ensemble is $-1.75\,$\UPgCyr (\AnalysisPeriod), consistent within uncertainties with estimates from ocean-interior carbon data or atmospheric oxygen trends. Using data-based sea--air \COtwo\ fluxes in atmospheric \COtwo\ inversions also helps to better constrain land--atmosphere \COtwo\ fluxes.