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Titel Estimation of the local response to a forcing in a high dimensional system using the fluctuation-dissipation theorem
VerfasserIn F. C. Cooper, J. G. Esler, P. H. Haynes
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1023-5809
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics ; 20, no. 2 ; Nr. 20, no. 2 (2013-04-26), S.239-248
Datensatznummer 250018963
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/npg-20-239-2013.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
The fluctuation-dissipation theorem (FDT) has been proposed as a method of calculating the response of the earth's atmosphere to a forcing. For this problem the high dimensionality of the relevant data sets makes truncation necessary. Here we propose a method of truncation based upon the assumption that the response to a localised forcing is spatially localised, as an alternative to the standard method of choosing a number of the leading empirical orthogonal functions. For systems where this assumption holds, the response to any sufficiently small non-localised forcing may be estimated using a set of truncations that are chosen algorithmically. We test our algorithm using 36 and 72 variable versions of a stochastic Lorenz 95 system of ordinary differential equations. We find that, for long integrations, the bias in the response estimated by the FDT is reduced from ~75% of the true response to ~30%.
 
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