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Titel Process-oriented statistical-dynamical evaluation of LM precipitation forecasts
VerfasserIn A. Claußnitzer, I. Langer, P. Névir, E. Reimer, U. Cubasch
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
ISSN 1680-7340
Digitales Dokument URL
Erschienen In: Observation, Prediction and Verification of Precipitation (EGU Session 2007) ; Nr. 16 (2008-04-09), S.33-41
Datensatznummer 250013068
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandencopernicus.org/adgeo-16-33-2008.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
The objective of this study is the scale dependent evaluation of precipitation forecasts of the Lokal-Modell (LM) from the German Weather Service in relation to dynamical and cloud parameters. For this purpose the newly designed Dynamic State Index (DSI) is correlated with clouds and precipitation. The DSI quantitatively describes the deviation and relative distance from a stationary and adiabatic solution of the primitive equations. A case study and statistical analysis of clouds and precipitation demonstrates the availability of the DSI as a dynamical threshold parameter. This confirms the importance of imbalances of the atmospheric flow field, which dynamically induce the generation of rainfall.
 
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