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| Titel |
Modelling expected physical impacts and human casualties from explosive volcanic eruptions |
| VerfasserIn |
R. J. S. Spence, I. Kelman, E. Calogero, G. Toyos, P. J. Baxter, J.-C. Komorowski |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Science ; 5, no. 6 ; Nr. 5, no. 6 (2005-12-19), S.1003-1015 |
| Datensatznummer |
250002894
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-5-1003-2005.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| A multi-hazard, multi-vulnerability impact model has been developed for
application to European volcanoes that could significantly damage human
settlements. This impact model is based on volcanological analyses of the
potential hazards and hazard intensities coupled with engineering analyses
of the vulnerability to these hazards of residential buildings in four
European locations threatened by explosive volcanic eruptions. For a given
case study site, inputs to the model are population data, building
characteristics, volcano scenarios as a series of hazard intensities, and
scenarios such as the time of eruption or the percentage of the population
which has been evacuated. Outputs are the rates of fatalities, seriously
injured casualties, and destroyed buildings for a given scenario. These
results are displayed in a GIS, thereby presenting risk maps which are easy
to use for presenting to public officials, the media, and the public.
Technical limitations of the model are discussed and future planned
developments are considered. This work contributes to the EU-funded project
EXPLORIS (Explosive Eruption Risk and Decision Support for EU Populations
Threatened by Volcanoes, EVR1-2001-00047).
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