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Titel Stochastic Modeling of Decadal Variability in Ocean Gyres
VerfasserIn Dmitri Kondrashov, Pavel Berloff
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2015
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 17 (2015)
Datensatznummer 250103442
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2015-2853.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Decadal large-scale low-frequency variability of the ocean circulation due to its nonlinear dynamics remains a big challenge for theoretical understanding and practical ocean modeling. This paper presents a novel fully data-driven approach that addresses this challenge. We propose non-Markovian low-order methodology with stochastic closure and data-adaptive mode decomposition. The multilayer stochastic linear model is obtained from the coarse-grained eddy-resolving ocean model solution, and it reproduces with high accuracy the main statistical properties of the decadal variability. The proposed methodology does not depend on the governing fluid dynamics equations and geometry of the problem, and it can be extended to other ocean models and ultimately to the real data.