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Titel |
Climate change adaptation frameworks: an evaluation of plans for coastal Suffolk, UK |
VerfasserIn |
J. Armstrong, R. Wilby, R. J. Nicholls |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1561-8633
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences ; 15, no. 11 ; Nr. 15, no. 11 (2015-11-18), S.2511-2524 |
Datensatznummer |
250119775
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/nhess-15-2511-2015.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
This paper asserts that three principal frameworks for climate change
adaptation can be recognised in the literature: scenario-led (SL),
vulnerability-led (VL) and decision-centric (DC) frameworks. A criterion is
developed to differentiate these frameworks in recent adaptation projects.
The criterion features six key hallmarks as follows: (1) use of climate model
information; (2) analysis of metrics/units; (3) socio-economic knowledge;
(4) stakeholder engagement; (5) adaptation of implementation mechanisms; (6) tier of
adaptation implementation. The paper then tests the validity of this
approach using adaptation projects on the Suffolk coast, UK. Fourteen
adaptation plans were identified in an online survey. They were analysed in
relation to the hallmarks outlined above and assigned to an adaptation framework.
The results show that while some adaptation plans are primarily SL, VL or
DC, the majority are hybrid, showing a mixture of DC/VL and DC/SL
characteristics. Interestingly, the SL/VL combination is not observed,
perhaps because the DC framework is intermediate and attempts to overcome
weaknesses of both SL and VL approaches. The majority (57 %) of adaptation
projects generated a risk assessment or advice notes. Further development of
this type of framework analysis would allow better guidance on approaches
for organisations when implementing climate change adaptation initiatives,
and other similar proactive long-term planning. |
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