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Titel |
Prediction of magnetic storm events using the Dst index |
VerfasserIn |
V. V. Anh, Z. G. Yu, J. A. Wanliss, S. M. Watson |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1023-5809
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics ; 12, no. 6 ; Nr. 12, no. 6 (2005-08-11), S.799-806 |
Datensatznummer |
250010887
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/npg-12-799-2005.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
This paper provides a method to predict magnetic storm events
based on the time series of the Dst index over the period
1981-2002. This method is based on the multiple scaling of the
measure representation of the Dst time series. This measure
is modeled as a recurrent iterated function system, which leads to
a method to predict storm patterns included in its attractor.
Numerical results are provided to evaluate the performance of the
method in outside-sample forecasts. |
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