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Titel Rapid advance, and rapid retreat at Kangiata Nunaata Sermia: potential for long term numerical model validation of Greenland outlet glacier dynamics.
VerfasserIn Danni Pearce, Doug Mair, Brice Rea, James Lea, Ed Schofield, Iestyn Barr, Nick Kamenos
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2017
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache en
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 19 (2017)
Datensatznummer 250150639
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2017-15120.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
At present, there is a poor understanding of centennial Greenlandic tidewater glacier (TWG) dynamics, with the majority of numerical modelling studies focussing on retreat during the last few decades. This is the result of an observational bias towards the last 40-50 years, during which time behaviour has been dominated by retreat. Consequently, the datasets currently used for model calibration/validation do not include a full range of glacier behaviour. To have confidence in model results that seek to simulate over centennial timescales (i.e. to 2100), it is therefore crucial to be able to (1) validate model behaviour over these timescales and (2) test models against significant advance as well as retreat phases. Kangiata Nunaata Sermia (KNS), located c. 100 km inland from Nuuk at the head of Godthåbsfjord, SW Greenland, is the largest TWG south of Jakobshavn Isbræ. Here, we use multiple terrestrial proxies (14C, geomorphology, pollen) and modelling, to demonstrate that KNS first advanced, then retreated >22 km during the last 1000 years. Notably, ages support a rapid (>100 ma-1) Little Ice Age (LIA; AD c. 1300 to 1850) advance phase in the early part of the millennium, before undergoing stepped, rapid multi-kilometre retreats following its LIA maximum. These data provide a potentially excellent dataset to calibrate and validate numerical models over multi-decadal to centennial timescales, helping to more comprehensively understand TWG dynamics and increase confidence in their projected contributions to future sea-level rise.