 |
| Titel |
Future Projection of Summer Extreme Precipitation from High Resolution Multi-RCMs over East Asia |
| VerfasserIn |
Gayoung Kim, Changyong Park, Dong-Hyun Cha, Dong-Kyou Lee, Myoung-Seok Suh, Joong-Bae Ahn, Seung-Ki Min, Song-You Hong, Hyun-Suk Kang |
| Konferenz |
EGU General Assembly 2017
|
| Medientyp |
Artikel
|
| Sprache |
en
|
| Digitales Dokument |
PDF |
| Erschienen |
In: GRA - Volume 19 (2017) |
| Datensatznummer |
250149255
|
| Publikation (Nr.) |
 EGU/EGU2017-13588.pdf |
|
|
|
|
|
| Zusammenfassung |
| Recently, the frequency and intensity of natural hazards have been increasing due to
human-induced climate change. Because most damages of natural hazards over East Asia
have been related to extreme precipitation events, it is important to estimate future change in
extreme precipitation characteristics caused by climate change. We investigate future changes
in extremal values of summer precipitation simulated by five regional climate models
participating in the CORDEX-East Asia project (i.e., HadGEM3-RA, RegCM4,
MM5, WRF, and GRIMs) over East Asia. 100-year return value calculated from the
generalized extreme value (GEV) parameters is analysed as an indicator of extreme
intensity. In the future climate, the mean values as well as the extreme values of daily
precipitation tend to increase over land region. The increase of 100-year return value can
be significantly associated with the changes in the location (intensity) and scale
(variability) GEV parameters for extreme precipitation. It is expected that the results of
this study can be used as fruitful references when making the policy of disaster
management.
Acknowledgements
The research was supported by the Ministry of Public Safety and Security of Korean
government and Development program under grant MPSS-NH-2013-63 and the National
Research Foundation of Korea Grant funded by the Ministry of Science, ICT and Future
Planning of Korea (NRF-2016M3C4A7952637) for its support and assistant in completion of
the study. |
|
|
|
|
|
|