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Titel Climate warming impacts on boreal landscape net CO2 exchange
VerfasserIn Manuel Helbig, Natascha Kljun, Laura E. Chasmer, Ankur R. Desai, William L. Quinton, Oliver Sonnentag
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2017
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache en
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 19 (2017)
Datensatznummer 250145006
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2017-8897.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
In boreal peatlands of the North American sporadic permafrost zone, climate change causes permafrost thaw and induces changes in vegetation composition and structure. Boreal landscape net carbon dioxide (CO2) fluxes in these regions will thus be modified directly through the changes in the meteorological forcing of ecosystem processes and indirectly through changes in landscape functioning associated with thaw-induced land cover changes. How the combined effects alter net ecosystem CO2 exchange of these landscapes (NEELAND), resulting from changes in gross primary productivity (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (ER), remains unknown. Here, we quantify indirect land cover and direct climate change impacts on NEELAND for a boreal forest-wetland landscape in the organic-rich Taiga Plains of northwestern Canada. Using 1.5 years of nested eddy covariance flux tower measurements, we observe both larger GPP and ER at the landscape-level (50% forested permafrost plateaus & 50% permafrost-free wetlands) compared to the wetland-level (100% permafrost-free wetland). However, the resulting annual NEELAND (-20±6 g C m−2) was similar to NEE of the wetland (-24±8 g C m−2). Indirect thaw-induced wetland expansion effects thus appear to have negligible effects on NEELAND. In contrast, we find larger direct climate change impacts when modeling end-of-the-21st-century NEELAND (2091-2100) using downscaled air temperature and incoming shortwave radiation projections. Modeled GPP indicates large spring and fall increases due to reduced temperature-limitation. At the same time, light-limitation of GPP becomes more frequent in fall. The projected warmer air temperatures increase ER year-round in the absence of moisture stress. As a result, larger net CO2 uptake is projected for the shoulder seasons while the peak growing season net CO2 uptake declines. The modeled annual NEELAND is projected to decline by 25±15 g C m−2 for a moderate (RCP 4.5) and 103±37 g C m−2 for a high warming scenario (RCP 8.5), potentially reversing recently observed increasing net CO2 uptake trends across the boreal zone. At the end of the 21st-century, modeled annual NEELAND was not significantly different from 0 g C m−2 for the RCP 4.5 scenario (+16±42 g C m−2) and positive for the RCP 8.5 scenario with +94±54 g C m−2. Thus, even without moisture stress, net CO2 uptake of boreal forest-wetland landscapes may decline – and likely cease - if anthropogenic CO2 emissions are not reduced. Future NEELAND changes are thus more likely driven by direct climate than by indirect land cover change impacts.