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Titel Diagnosing the radiative forcing from a millennium historical model integration – evaluation of a commonly used method
VerfasserIn Torben Schmith, Peter Thejll, Eduardo Zorita
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2017
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache en
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 19 (2017)
Datensatznummer 250143529
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2017-7257.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
A commonly applied method for calculating radiative forcing from model integrations is the two-step procedure where first the climate feedback parameter is found by a regression between the net radiative balance and the surface temperature, and this is then used for calculating the effective radiative forcing year by year (Gregory et al. 2004; Forster and Taylor 2006). We investigate the performance of the method on a 1000 year long model integration where the applied forcing is approximately known. Generally the performance of the model is acceptable with a mean bias of 0.22 Wm-2 and a detrended rms value of 0.29 Wm-2. The bias has a trend -0.04 Wm-2 century-1. This trend is not present in a run with an energy balance model without a deep ocean and from this we conclude that the trend is related to improper spinup of the original model.