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Titel Heatwaves detection, clustering and future projections
VerfasserIn Ara Arakelian, Fabio D'Andrea, Pascal Yiou
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2016
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache en
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 18 (2016)
Datensatznummer 250135942
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2016-16870.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Impacts of heatwaves on infrastructure,particularly nuclear power plants, can be significant and is brought to evolve in the future. As part of the project SEEN (scenario extreme nuclear energy), we evaluated, both in reanalysis and in a set of 10 Euro-Cordex simulations, the frequency and distribution of heatwaves. The results shows the ability of models, GCM associated with RCM, to represent historical events, in terms of frequency and patterns. The study was accompanied by the elaboration of a metric value to assess the ability of a model to correctly represent the classifications and determine the number of significant cluster for reanalysis and climate projections. The increase in frequency and duration of these events varies from one data set to another, but indicates preferential tendency for the various European regions.