 |
| Titel |
Large uncertainties in projected European summer warming and drying due to ocean-atmosphere and land-atmosphere interactions |
| VerfasserIn |
Frank M. Selten, Richard Bintanja, Robert Vautard, Bart van den Hurk, Rein Haarsma |
| Konferenz |
EGU General Assembly 2016
|
| Medientyp |
Artikel
|
| Sprache |
en
|
| Digitales Dokument |
PDF |
| Erschienen |
In: GRA - Volume 18 (2016) |
| Datensatznummer |
250132312
|
| Publikation (Nr.) |
 EGU/EGU2016-12806.pdf |
|
|
|
|
|
| Zusammenfassung |
| Europe is among the regions with the highest summer warming rates and largest spread in the projected warming in the latest CMIP5 climate model projections. The end-of-this-century summer warming under the RCP8.5 scenario ranges from about 3 to 9 degrees. Why do models disagree so much on the response of the summer climate in Europe to an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations?
The origin of these uncertainties is traced through a combination of statistical analyses, theoretical arguments and additional model simulations to both the uncertain response of the ocean circulation to the warming and land-atmosphere interactions in continental Europe. |
|
|
|
|
|