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Titel Impact of climate extremes on flowering dates of four shrub species
VerfasserIn Jonatan Siegmund, Marc Wiedermann, Jonathan Donges, Reik Donner
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2016
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache en
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 18 (2016)
Datensatznummer 250131468
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2016-11880.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Ongoing climate change is known to cause an increase in frequency and amplitude of local temperature and precipitation extremes in central Europe. While gradual changes in the climatological conditions are known to strongly influence plant flowering dates, the question arises if and how extremes specifically impact the timing of this important phenological phase. In this study, we systematically quantify simultaneities between meteorological extremes and the timing of flowering of four shrub species across Germany by means of event coincidence analysis, a novel statistical tool that allows assessing whether or not two types of events exhibit similar sequences of occurrences. Additionally we perform a superimposed epoch analysis in order to investigate the impact of different magnitudes of extremes and to assess possible long term influences. Our systematic investigation supports previous findings of experimental studies by highlighting the impact of early spring temperatures on the flowering of wildlife plants. In addition, we find statistically significant indications for some long-term relations reaching back to the previous year.