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Titel |
Synoptic situations and occurrence of extreme temperatures in the Iberian Peninsula |
VerfasserIn |
Ali Mohammed, Marta Alarcón |
Konferenz |
EGU General Assembly 2016
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Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
en
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Digitales Dokument |
PDF |
Erschienen |
In: GRA - Volume 18 (2016) |
Datensatznummer |
250126434
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Publikation (Nr.) |
EGU/EGU2016-6153.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
The occurrence of hot waves and cold spells is having a particular attention in the last years
due to their influence on human activities, health, agriculture, power supply, infrastructure
and ecosystems (Bieli et al., 2015). In the context of climate change, there are evidences that
extreme temperature episodes, and not only the mean temperature, are changing in response
to the anthropogenic radiative forcing. The atmospheric large-scale circulation patterns are
related to episodes of extreme temperature (Pfahl and Wernli, 2012). The distribution and
intensity of high and low systems, and the meridional movement of their associated air
masses configure the situations that lead to extreme temperature events in particular
regions. This work focuses in the study of these events in the Iberian Peninsula in the
recent 20-year period 1994-2013 and the relationship with the synoptic situations in
Europe.
A Lagrangian approach is used to provide information about the pathways of the air
masses causing the 0.1% most extreme hot and cold events for that period. The impact of
climate variability is also investigated by computing the correlations between the frequency
of extremes and the most influencing modes of climate variability affecting Western
Mediterranean: North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Western Mediterranean Oscillation
(WeMO) and Arctic Oscillation (AO). There is a significant (p<0.01) negative correlation
between the number of cold days and the NAO and AO annual indices, whereas that a
significant (p<0.01) positive correlation has been found between the annual average
temperature for hot days and the WeMO annual indice. The relationship between the
synoptic situations and extreme events has been studied in three vertical levels by
applying principal component analysis (PCA) to the pressure fields and by using the
Hess-Brezowsky (GWL) catalogue. The results showed that in 65% of hot extreme
events the IP was affected by the presence of the Iberian thermal low, which also
appeared in 90% of the cases highly correlated with the first component of the
PCA. Furthermore, 45% of the hot extremes corresponded to zonal type circulation.
On the other hand, the Atlantic anticyclone appeared in 50% of the cold events. |
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