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Titel Hailstorms over Switzerland in a warmer climate: a surrogated climate change experiment
VerfasserIn Andrey Martynov, Olivia Martius, Luca Nisi
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2016
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache en
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 18 (2016)
Datensatznummer 250122319
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2016-1324.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
The WRF model was used for simulating the hailstorms over Switzerland in summer periods of 2012-2015, with 2-km horizontal resolution and using the ECMWF analysis for boundary forcing. The climate conditions, expected towards the end of the XXI century (RCP85 scenario) were simulated by introducing biases of air temperature and of soil temperature/water content, based on CMIP5 simulations. The relative air humidity was left constant. Based on the comparison with the unbiased present day simulation, changes in spatial and temporal distributions of precipitation patterns and of hailstorms, in characteristics of thunderstorm clouds and in parameters of ground-reaching hailstones were studied. Considerable increase of mean and maximal precipitation rate has been remarked. More hail days, more frequent hailstorms and larger hailstones were produced in the climate change simulation.