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Titel |
Links between the Big Dry in Australia and hemispheric multi-decadal climate variability – implications for water resource management |
VerfasserIn |
D. C. Verdon-Kidd, A. S. Kiem, R. Moran |
Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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ISSN |
1027-5606
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Digitales Dokument |
URL |
Erschienen |
In: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences ; 18, no. 6 ; Nr. 18, no. 6 (2014-06-18), S.2235-2256 |
Datensatznummer |
250120387
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Publikation (Nr.) |
copernicus.org/hess-18-2235-2014.pdf |
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Zusammenfassung |
Southeast Australia (SEA) experienced a protracted drought during the
mid-1990s until early 2010 (known as the Big Dry or Millennium Drought) that
resulted in serious environmental, social and economic effects. This paper
analyses a range of historical climate data sets to place the recent drought
into context in terms of Southern Hemisphere inter-annual to multi-decadal
hydroclimatic variability. The findings indicate that the recent Big Dry in
SEA is in fact linked to the widespread Southern Hemisphere climate shift
towards drier conditions that began in the mid-1970s. However, it is shown
that this link is masked because the large-scale climate drivers responsible
for drying in other regions of the mid-latitudes since the mid-1970s did not
have the same effect on SEA during the mid- to late 1980s and early 1990s.
More specifically, smaller-scale synoptic processes resulted in elevated
autumn and winter rainfall (a crucial period for SEA hydrology) during the
mid- to late 1980s and early 1990s, which punctuated the longer-term drying.
From the mid-1990s to 2010 the frequency of the synoptic processes associated
with elevated autumn/winter rainfall decreased, resulting in a return to
drier than average conditions and the onset of the Big Dry. The findings
presented in this paper have marked implications for water management and
climate attribution studies in SEA, in particular for understanding and
dealing with "baseline" (i.e. current) hydroclimatic risks. |
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