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| Titel |
Characterising the relationship between weather extremes in Europe and synoptic circulation features |
| VerfasserIn |
S. Pfahl |
| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| ISSN |
1561-8633
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| Digitales Dokument |
URL |
| Erschienen |
In: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences ; 14, no. 6 ; Nr. 14, no. 6 (2014-06-06), S.1461-1475 |
| Datensatznummer |
250118496
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 copernicus.org/nhess-14-1461-2014.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| Extreme weather events in Europe are closely linked to anomalies of the
atmospheric circulation and in particular to circulation features like
cyclones and atmospheric blocking. In this study, this linkage is
systematically characterised with the help of conditional cyclone and
blocking frequencies during precipitation, wind gust and temperature extremes
at various locations in Europe. Such conditional frequency fields can serve
as a dynamical fingerprint of the extreme events and yield insights into
their most important physical driving mechanisms. Precipitation extremes over
the ocean and over flat terrain are shown to be closely related to cyclones
in the vicinity and the associated dynamical lifting. For extreme
precipitation over complex terrain, cyclone anomalies are found at more
remote locations, favouring the flow of moist air towards the topography.
Wind gust extremes are associated with cyclone and blocking anomalies in
opposite directions, with the cyclones occurring mostly over the North and
Baltic seas for extreme events in central Europe. This setting is associated
with pronounced surface pressure gradients and thus high near-surface wind
velocities. Hot temperature extremes in northern and central Europe typically
occur in the vicinity of a blocking anticyclone, where subsidence and
radiative forcing are strong. Over southern Europe, blocking anomalies are
shifted more to the north or northeast, indicating a more important role of
warm air advection. Large-scale flow conditions for cold extremes are similar
at many locations in Europe, with blocking anomalies over the North Atlantic
and northern Europe and cyclone anomalies southeast of the cold extreme, both
contributing to the advection of cold air masses. This characterisation of
synoptic-scale forcing mechanisms can be helpful for better understanding and
anticipating weather extremes and their long-term changes. |
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