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Titel Differentiating flavors of positive IOD events in recent decades
VerfasserIn Evan Weller, Wenju Cai, Yan Du, Seung-Ki Min
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2015
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 17 (2015)
Datensatznummer 250103728
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2015-3139.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Phase locked to austral winter and spring, canonical positive Indian Ocean Dipoles (pIODs) generally peak in spring. In recent decades, there has been an increase in unseasonable pIODs which, different from canonical pIODs, peak and decay by September. Distinguishing unseasonable pIODs from canonical pIODs is important, as conditions leading to more frequent unseasonable events are projected to persist in a warming climate. Here using superimposition of the ?rst two seasonally evolving dominant modes of tropical Indian Ocean rainfall variability, we differentiate these types of pIODs. The ?rst mode re?ects characteristics of canonical pIODs, in which anomalies intensify with seasonal evolution. However, the second mode, with cool and dry anomalies extending from the eastern pole, reverses from winter to spring, signifying the demise of unseasonable pIODs. Processes embedded in the second mode re?ect timing of propagation in equatorial Kelvin waves and their relative importance to the ?rst mode, in generating different pIODs.