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| Titel |
Climate changes in the North Sea region – a review of recent assessments |
| VerfasserIn |
Wilhelm May, Anette Ganske, Gregor Leckebusch, Burhardt Rockel, Birger Tinz, Uwe Ulbrich |
| Konferenz |
EGU General Assembly 2015
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| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| Digitales Dokument |
PDF |
| Erschienen |
In: GRA - Volume 17 (2015) |
| Datensatznummer |
250102090
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 EGU/EGU2015-1370.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| As a contribution to the North Sea Region Climate Change Assessment (NOSCCA), the
potential future changes in various aspects of the atmospheric state in the North Sea region
are reviewed. These are aspects of the large-scale circulation, the mean and extremes,
primarily at daily time scales, in temperature and precipitation, winds and cyclones as
well as clouds and radiation. Typically, these changes have been projected for the
end of the 21st century as compared to the end of the 20th century, but in the last
years several projections have also become available for the middle of the 21st
century.
The review is primarily based on some of the recently published assessment reports, i.e.,
the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC), the IPCC Special Report on Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and
Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX) and the Fourth Assessment
Report (AR4) of the IPCC. These assessment reports are complemented by recent
results from the scientific literature, which have not been included in the assessment
reports. Since there have only been undertaken a very limited number of studies
focussing on the North Sea region, the majority of the results reviewed here have
been extracted from future climate projections for Europe (based on RCM scenario
simulations from ENSEMBLES or CORDEX) or even from projections covering
the whole globe (based on GCM scenario simulations from CMIP3 or CMIP5). |
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