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Titel Changes in global net radiative imbalance 1985-2012
VerfasserIn Richard Allan, Chunlei Liu, Norman Loeb, Matt Palmer, Malcolm Roberts, Doug Smith
Konferenz EGU General Assembly 2014
Medientyp Artikel
Sprache Englisch
Digitales Dokument PDF
Erschienen In: GRA - Volume 16 (2014)
Datensatznummer 250095551
Publikation (Nr.) Volltext-Dokument vorhandenEGU/EGU2014-11010.pdf
 
Zusammenfassung
Combining satellite data, atmospheric reanalyses and climate model simulations, variability in the net downward radiative flux imbalance at the top of Earth’s atmosphere (N) are reconstructed and linked to recent climate change. Over the period 1985-2012 we estimate N=0.47±0.54 Wm−2 (uncertainties at 90% confidence level). Variability relates primarily to the eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in 1991 and variability relating to El Nino with good agreement between the monthly reconstruction and atmospheric simulations using prescribed sea surface temperature and radiative forcings (r~0.6). Combining with a simple energy balance climate model we argue that increased ocean heat uptake below the mixed layer is required to reconcile changes in N and surface temperature since 1985.