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| Titel |
Agricultural production and water use scenarios in Cyprus under global change |
| VerfasserIn |
Adriana Bruggeman, Christos Zoumides, Corrado Camera, Stelios Pashiardis, Zomenia Zomeni |
| Konferenz |
EGU General Assembly 2014
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| Medientyp |
Artikel
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| Sprache |
Englisch
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| Digitales Dokument |
PDF |
| Erschienen |
In: GRA - Volume 16 (2014) |
| Datensatznummer |
250095096
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| Publikation (Nr.) |
 EGU/EGU2014-10537.pdf |
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| Zusammenfassung |
| In many countries of the world, food demand exceeds the total agricultural production. In
semi-arid countries, agricultural water demand often also exceeds the sustainable supply of
water resources. These water-stressed countries are expected to become even drier, as a result
of global climate change. This will have a significant impact on the future of the agricultural
sector and on food security. The aim of the AGWATER project consortium is to provide
recommendations for climate change adaptation for the agricultural sector in Cyprus and the
wider Mediterranean region.
Gridded climate data sets, with 1-km horizontal resolution were prepared for Cyprus for
1980-2010. Regional Climate Model results were statistically downscaled, with the help of
spatial weather generators. A new soil map was prepared using a predictive modelling
and mapping technique and a large spatial database with soil and environmental
parameters. Stakeholder meetings with agriculture and water stakeholders were held to
develop future water prices, based on energy scenarios and to identify climate resilient
production systems. Green houses, including also hydroponic systems, grapes,
potatoes, cactus pears and carob trees were the more frequently identified production
systems.
The green-blue-water model, based on the FAO-56 dual crop coefficient approach, has
been set up to compute agricultural water demand and yields for all crop fields in Cyprus
under selected future scenarios. A set of agricultural production and water use performance
indicators are computed by the model, including green and blue water use, crop
yield, crop water productivity, net value of crop production and economic water
productivity.
This work is part of the AGWATER project - AEIFORIA/GEOGRO/0311(BIE)/06 -
co-financed by the European Regional Development Fund and the Republic of Cyprus
through the Research Promotion Foundation. |
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