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Titel |
Are solar minima associated with severe winters in Europe? |
VerfasserIn |
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Jos de Laat, Juerg Luterbacher, William Ingram, Tim Osborn |
Konferenz |
EGU General Assembly 2013
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Medientyp |
Artikel
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Sprache |
Englisch
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Digitales Dokument |
PDF |
Erschienen |
In: GRA - Volume 15 (2013) |
Datensatznummer |
250073640
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Zusammenfassung |
There have been claims recently that severe winters in Europe are associated with solar
minima. We revisit this based on three sets of data sources:
historical instrumental observations available over the last three centuries (NAO,
CET, De Bilt temperature, Frankfurt temperature)
reconstructions based on documentary evidence (in winter partly based on
freezing of canals, rivers and lakes) and
the long 20C reanalysis that is now available.
None of these data sources shows a significant correlation (linear, non-linear or lagged) between
near-surface winter temperatures or atmospheric circulation over Europe and various measure
of solar activity beyond common trends. We also show the origin of the differences between
our analyses and other published investigations into the connection between solar activity and
European winter severity. |
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